Triguna Projects

Residential Prices Surge 79% in Bangalore: Is the Bubble Nearing?

Bangalore’s real estate market is once again in the spotlight. According to a recent report by CREDAI-Colliers-Liases Foras, residential prices in the city have surged by an exceptional 79% over the past 5 years, prompting serious discussion about whether this meteoric rise signals long-term growth—or the formation of a housing bubble.

Lets understand first What’s a Real Estate Bubble?

Imagine blowing a soap bubble — it keeps getting bigger and bigger as you blow more air into it. But there’s a limit. When it gets too big and can’t hold itself together anymore, it pops.

A real estate bubble works the same way. It’s when property prices shoot up very fast, not because people truly need homes, but because everyone thinks prices will just keep going up. So, more people rush to buy — not to live, but to sell later at a profit.

But here’s the problem:
If prices go too high and aren’t backed by real demand (like actual people needing homes), and if salaries, rental income, or infrastructure don’t keep up, the market becomes too fragile.

Then what happens?
If interest rates rise, or buyers start backing off, or developers overbuild and can’t sell — the bubble can burst. That means prices drop sharply, leaving investors stuck with overpriced properties and buyers regretting their decisions.

But the question that’s beginning to echo among homebuyers and investors alike is: Is this growth sustainable, or are we nearing a bubble?
Let’s break it all one by one!

Why Bangalore? Understanding the Demand

Unlike cities where real estate spikes are often speculative or politically driven, Bangalore’s price growth has been largely organic and has mostly evolved around real demand—anchored by its thriving IT sector, robust startup ecosystem and a large base of salaried professionals and entrepreneurs.

Apart from these, Bangalore also enjoys a demographic advantage. How? A younger, more mobile and aspirational population; who desire to own quality homes—whether as a primary residence, retirement haven or a long-term asset.

Bangalore is not just growing outward, it’s maturing inward,” says Raghunath Reddy Bhattagiri, Co-founder & MD,  Triguna Projects. “We’re seeing buyers look beyond square footage—they want lifestyle, community, and future readiness. Whether it’s smart apartments in tech corridors or peaceful weekend homes on the outskirts, the demand is consistent and varied.

By the Numbers: Bangalore vs Other Metros

  • Current Avg. Price (as of March 2025): ₹10,349 per sq. ft
  • 5-Year Price Growth: +79%

    • Delhi NCR: +47%
    • Hyderabad: +43%
    • Mumbai: +42%

Bangalore’s performance clearly outpaces other Tier-1 cities, yet experts suggest the surge is backed by strong fundamentals. Lets hear what some of them have to share:

“In most metros, rapid price growth leads to unsold inventory and speculative buying,” noted Pankaj Kapoor, Founder of Liases Foras, in a recent interview. “But in Bangalore, inventory levels are relatively stable, which points to actual end-user demand.

Anarock Chairman Anuj Puri echoed a similar sentiment, stating, “The IT influx and startup activity in Bangalore give it a strong advantage. People are not just investing—they’re moving in.

Micro-Markets Are the Real Heroes

The surge isn’t uniform, though. Prime areas like Whitefield, Sarjapur Road, North Bangalore, and Kanakapura Road have been the frontrunners. What’s driving them? Offcourse, proximity to IT hubs and basic necessities like schools, hospitals, malls etc; better metro connectivity and increasing social infrastructure.

Again the question arises: Is It Sustainable? Or a Bubble in the Making?

According to analysts, while price growth is steep, the fundamentals remain strong. There’s no excessive credit fueling the boom—unlike the 2008 US housing crisis.

What we are seeing in Bangalore is structural demand. The market is backed by real users—not just investors,” stated Rohit Gera, MD, Gera Developments, in a CNBC-TV18 panel.

Which means Bangalore’s surge is riding on real user demand and infrastructure-led planning. 

Buying vs. Renting in 2025: The Dilemma Gets Real

For years, Bangalore offered a sweet spot for renters with affordable EMIs and competitive rental yields. But the recent price spike has caused this equation to shift. In some locations, rental values haven’t kept pace with capital values, bringing down ROI for landlords but raising red flags for tenants who may now consider buying.

Let’s break it down:

  • Rental yields in Bangalore currently average around 3–4%, while annual price appreciation has crossed 10–12% in some zones.
  • EMIs on a ₹1 crore loan could reach ₹75,000/month, while a comparable rental may cost ₹40,000–₹50,000/month.

If you’re a short-term resident or uncertain about staying in one location, renting may still be practical. But for those looking to lock in long-term value, owning a property—even at a higher price—could offer better returns and stability.

…And What Should Buyers Watch For?

If you’re planning to enter the Bangalore market in 2025, here are three Triguna-endorsed signals to help guide your decision:

  1. Look for Infrastructure-Linked Growth:
    Follow the metro lines, ring roads, and SEZs. Areas like Peripheral Ring Road and Satellite Town Ring Road are expected to spur new residential clusters. Golden Rule: Invest where the government is investing
  2. Mind the Developer’s Track Record:
    Don’t get swayed by price alone. Delivery history, legal clarity, and post-possession support matter more now than ever.Don’t just sway away with flashy brochures
  3. Evaluate Your Lifestyle Needs:
    Whether it’s a retirement villa near a lake or a small apartment with great rental scope — make sure it aligns with your present and future lifestyle goals. Don’t compromise on open space, air quality, and community.

A Word on Farmland & Retirement Living

Interestingly, as city prices rise, farmland plots and sustainable communities are becoming a magnet for a different buyer profile: retirees, second-home or weekend home seekers and wellness-focused families.

Triguna has seen this trend firsthand. Our Triguna country homes project, located near Bangalore’s greener outskirts, are drawing attention for offering peace, nature, and long-term appreciation at affordable rates.

Today, Bangalore’s boom isn’t confined to skyscrapers,” Sachin Kumar Bankapur, Director at Triguna Projects stated, “People are investing in clean air, trees, and a simpler life. That’s real estate too.

In Conclusion: Stay Informed, Not Alarmed

Yes, prices are up. But rather than ringing alarm bells, this should prompt sharper research and smarter investments. Bangalore continues to evolve as India’s innovation capital — and its real estate will follow suit.

So overall the city isn’t in a bubble—it’s in transition. A shift from concrete to conscious and modern living. Today’s buyer is asking deeper questions—and that’s a sign of a healthy market— you just have to look a little deeper and understand your precious investment which is a home.

Frequently Asked Question:

1. Is it a good time to invest in real estate in Bangalore?
Answer: Yes, with a 79% price rise in 5 years (CREDAI-Colliers-Liases Foras) and demand driven by end-users, not speculators, Bangalore’s market remains strong and infrastructure-led. Choose micro-markets near metro and tech hubs for long-term gains.


2. Should I buy or rent in Bangalore in 2025?
Answer: Buying may offer better long-term value if you plan to stay. Rental yields average 3–4%, but EMIs on ₹1 crore homes are ₹75,000/month vs ₹50,000 in rent. If mobility matters, renting is smarter. (Source: Market trends cited in article)


3. Is Bangalore’s real estate market in a bubble?
Answer: Unlikely. The growth is demand-driven—backed by IT jobs, infrastructure, and young professionals. Unlike speculative bubbles, Bangalore shows stable inventory and user-based buying. (Source: Liases Foras, CNBC-TV18)

 

Post a Comment